Every Movie Has a Lesson

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OSCAR FUN: Betting odds, prop bets, and party ideas!

(Image: ProPartyPlanner on etsy.com)

The character of "Deep Throat" in All the President's Men famously said "follow the money" when it came to cracking helping journalists break the Watergate story wide open.  Lately, I've been using that same logic and advice to make better Oscar predictions.  I enjoy tracking the trends and changes on my annual Awards Tracker, but once we get to crunch time before the Academy Awards, the cash flow takes over.  I want my promise of "stick with me and I will win you your Oscar pool" to become more ironclad every year. 

Betting websites and odds-makers, like those at SportsBettingDime.com, can put spin some monetary probability into predicting the future Oscar winners.  Those looking to make a little money could serve themselves well to follow their data.  For the more casual crowds, their prop bets and angles can be combined with created games, like this one below on Etsy from ProPartyPlanner, to make your homestyle red carpet party pop like a champagne bottle with engaging fun.  

(Image: ProPartyPlanner on etsy.com)

As a sample, here are some of the best prop bets and odds for the 90th Academy Awards listed on SportsBettingDime.com:

2018 ACADEMY AWARD PROP BETS

Odds to be subject of Jimmy Kimmel’s first joke:
Himself - 7/1
Trump - 12/1
Last year’s Best Picture fiasco - 15/1
Russia - 15/1
Harvey Weinstein - 24/1
Matt Damon - 24/1
Jennifer Lawrence - 35/1

Odds Jimmy Kimmel will say these words or phrases during monologue:
Guns: 1/9
NRA: 1/3
Harvey Weinstein: 1/1
Accountant: 2/1
La La Land: 3/1
Moonlight: 3/1
#MeToo: 4/1
Time’s Up: 5/1
Warren Beatty: 5/1
PriceWaterhouseCoopers: 5/1

Over/under number of times Kimmel says ‘Trump’ during monologue: 1.5
Over/under length of Jimmy Kimmel’s monologue: 8.5 minutes
Odds wrong winner is announced for any Oscar: 75/1
Odds President Trump tweets during Oscars broadcast: 1/4

Odds of color of Jimmy Kimmel’s tux:
Black - 1/19
White - 24/1
Other - 99/1

Odds Frances McDormand wears a dress vs a pant-suit:
Dress - 1/10
Pantsuit - 11/1
Other - 124/1

Color of Frances McDormand’s outfit:
Dark Blue - 3/2
Light Blue - 3/1
Black - 4/1
Field - 17/3

Odds ABC’s Oscars broadcast draws more viewers than last year (32.9 million, second lowest ever): 4/1
Odds any award presenter or winner suffers wardrobe malfunction or falls on the way to the stage: 15/1
Odds an award winner mentions "the President" or "Trump" in their acceptance speech: 4/1
Over/Under times Dave Chappelle is censored: 1.5
Odds Tiffany Haddish plugs Groupon: 9/1
Over/Under # of “alrights” from Matthew McConaughey: 2.5

Odds Jane Fonda mentions Trump, #timesup or Grace & Frankie first:
TimesUp: 1/2
Trump: 3/1
Grace & Frankie: 10/1

Odds Rita Moreno references West Side Story: 3/1
Odds Rita Moreno or Gina Rodriguez references DACA: 6/1
Odds Lin-Manuel Miranda mentions Puerto Rico: 2/1
Odds Lin-Manuel Miranda Raps: 15/1
Odds Helen Mirren Raps: 99/1

Odds to win most Oscars:
The Shape of Water (13 nominations): 1/2
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (7 nominations): 3/1
Dunkirk (8 nominations): 10/1

Odds The Shape of Water breaks the record for most Oscars won by a single movie: 500/1.
Over/under Oscars won by Star Wars (4 nominations): 1.5

Odds Timothee Chalamet becomes youngest to win Best Actor:
this year: 15/1
in the next 6 years: 8/1


2018 ACADEMY AWARD ODDS

Best Lead Actor
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour: 1/20
Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out: 14/1
Timothee Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name: 14/1
Daniel Day-Lewis - Phantom Thread: 20/1
Denzel Washington - Roman J. Israel, Esq: 25/1

Best Lead Actress
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 1/14
Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water: 14/1
Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird: 8/1
Margot Robbie - I, Tonya: 28/1
Meryl Streep - The Post: 40/1

Best Supporting Actor
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 1/6
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project: 5/1
Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water: 16/1
Christopher Plummer - All The Money In The World: 20/1
Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 33/1

Best Supporting Actress
Allison Janney - I, Tonya: 1/5
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird: 4/1
Mary J. Blige - Mudbound: 16/1
Lesley Manville - Phantom Thread: 20/1
Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water: 25/1

Best Director
Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water: 1/12
Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk: 6/1
Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird: 12/1
Jordan Peele - Get Out: 33/1
Paul Thomas Anderson - Phantom Thread: 65/1

Best Original Screenplay
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 5/4
Get Out: 11/10
Lady Bird: 5/2
The Shape of Water: 14/1
The Big Sick: 33/1

Best Picture
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 1/1
The Shape of Water: 3/2
Lady Bird: 8/1
Get Out: 9/1
Dunkirk: 14/1
Call Me By Your Name: 65/1
The Post: 70/1
Darkest Hour: 100/1
Phantom Thread: 100/1

About SportsBettingDime.com: SportsBettingDime.com (SBD) provides expert picks and unique odds on sports and entertainment for fans seeking insight into various scenarios and online betting options.  Whether it is pop-culture and celebrity gossip, sports outcomes, hard news, or anything in between, SportsBettingDime.com is THE place for reliable up-to-the-minute odds and predictive analysis.